Opinions - Turkey

Turkey’s Growing Alignment with Pakistan Risks Friction with India

Turkey’s Growing Alignment with Pakistan Risks Friction with India

by Enes Esen, published on 29 May 2025
India’s perception is that Ankara is not only favoring Islamabad diplomatically, but also materially bolstering its defense capacity in ways that impact the regional military balance. For Turkey, engaging Pakistan should not necessarily come at the expense of ties with India. Yet Turkey’s current policy risks reinforcing precisely that trajectory.
KRG’s Energy Deals Will Likely Proceed Without a Turkish Route

KRG’s Energy Deals Will Likely Proceed Without a Turkish Route

by Mustafa Enes Esen, published on 23 May 2025
The Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) has announced a landmark deal with two American companies, HKN Energy and WesternZagros, to develop oil and gas fields in northern Iraq. Nonetheless, the government in Baghdad promptly declared the deal null and void, while the KRG maintained that it was both legal and legitimate under Iraq’s constitution.
Adım Adım Türkiye-Suriye Serbest Ticaret Anlaşması’na Doğru

Adım Adım Türkiye-Suriye Serbest Ticaret Anlaşması’na Doğru

by Mehmet Demirbaş, published on 14 May 2025
Yaklaşık 14 yıl önce Suriye iç savaşının başlamasıyla birlikte askıya alınan Türkiye-Suriye Serbest Ticaret Anlaşması’nın yeniden gündeme gelme ihtimali güçlenmiş durumda.
PKK'nın Kendini Feshetmesinin Sonuçlarına Dair Uzmanlarımızın Görüşleri

PKK'nın Kendini Feshetmesinin Sonuçlarına Dair Uzmanlarımızın Görüşleri

by Ömer Güler, Mustafa Enes Esen, and Ahmet Kalafat published on 13 May 2025
12 Mayıs'ta PKK kendini feshettiğini duyurdu. 40 yıllık kanlı bir devrin sonuna gelindi ama sürecin sonuçlarının ne olabileceğine dair farklı görüşler var. Uzmanlarımıza bu soruyu sorduk ve cevapları sizin için derledik.
Sectarian Violence in Syria May Draw in Foreign Powers—Again

Sectarian Violence in Syria May Draw in Foreign Powers—Again

by Mustafa Enes Esen, published on 1 May 2025
The latest unrest in Syria was precipitated by the circulation of a voice recording, allegedly made by a member of the Druze community, that insulted the Prophet Muhammad. The violence initially erupted in Jaramana and subsequently spread to Sahnaya, a predominantly Druze area on the outskirts of Damascus.
Why Turkey Is Missing from the Negotiations on Ukraine and Iran

Why Turkey Is Missing from the Negotiations on Ukraine and Iran

by Enes Esen, published on 27 April 2025
Negotiations are currently underway to end the war in Ukraine and to strike a new nuclear deal with Iran. Given this proximity and high stakes for Turkey, it would seem natural for Ankara to play a role in these diplomatic efforts. Yet despite closely monitoring developments in both theaters, Turkey remains notably absent from the negotiation tables. Several reasons help explain why.

Reports - Turkey

Turkey’s Human Rights Regression over the Past Decade: How Emergency Measures Became the Rule, from Scapegoats to Everyone

Turkey’s Human Rights Regression over the Past Decade: How Emergency Measures Became the Rule, from Scapegoats to Everyone

by Hakan Kaplankaya, published on 22 October 2026
Turkey has never been a full-fledged democracy. Throughout its modern history, the country has experienced military interventions, restrictions on political freedoms and serious human rights violations. Yet, despite these shortcomings, Turkey held a significant place within the Western democratic order. It became a founding member of the Council of Europe in 1949, joined NATO in 1952, and accepted the right of individual petition to the European Court of Human Rights (ECtHR, the Court) in 1987 and the compulsory jurisdiction of the Court in 1990.
TURKEY'S RARE ELEMENTS: CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES - THE BEYLİKOVA CASE

TURKEY'S RARE ELEMENTS: CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES - THE BEYLİKOVA CASE

by Mustafa Enes Esen, Ömer Güler, Harun Güngör and Dr. İmdat Öner, published on 21 May 2026
This report is addressed to two audiences simultaneously: Turkish policymakers weighing how to develop the Beylikova deposit, and Western governments and companies assessing whether Turkey is a credible partner in their supply chain diversification strategies. It examines both the opportunities Turkey’s entry into the rare earth sector could realistically generate and the structural obstacles that stand between the current situation and those outcomes.
Turkey's Vision For a New Syria

Turkey's Vision For a New Syria

by Mustafa Enes Esen, Haşim Tekineş, Mehmet Demirbaş and Servet Akman, published on 14 February 2026
This report analyzes Turkey’s vision for Syria following the fall of the Assad family and the rise of the HTS under the leadership of Ahmad al-Sharaa. In this regard, it focuses on the foreign actors that, alongside Turkey, now have the greatest ability to shape Syria’s future: namely the United States and Israel.
Electrifying Turkey's Roads: EV Adoption Scenarios & Their Impact on Oil Imports

Electrifying Turkey's Roads: EV Adoption Scenarios & Their Impact on Oil Imports

by Baki Kaya, Ömer Güler, Harun Güngör, and Mustafa Enes Esen, published on 10 September 2025
This study evaluates, through long-term projections to 2053, the potential impact of increased EV penetration on Turkey’s energy landscape. It provides a comparative assessment of how changes in the share of EVs within the total vehicle fleet, across several scenario frameworks, could influence fuel demand and petroleum import volumes. A second, closely related objective is to measure the scale of Turkey’s oil dependency in order to establish a basis for examining its policy implications.
Geopolitical Constraints of Turkey's Energy Hub Ambitions

Geopolitical Constraints of Turkey's Energy Hub Ambitions

by Mustafa Enes Esen, published on 8 July 2025
This study focuses on the geopolitical dimensions and constraints shaping Turkey’s ambition to become a natural gas hub. The emphasis is on Turkey’s diplomatic relations with key supplier countries, the political instability across the wider Middle East, and the limited capacity of neighboring states to produce and export gas reliably—factors that collectively can make or undermine Turkey’s hub ambitions.
MODERNIZING THE TURKEY–EU CUSTOMS UNION: ISSUES AND PROSPECTS

MODERNIZING THE TURKEY–EU CUSTOMS UNION: ISSUES AND PROSPECTS

by instituDE, published in March 2025
The Turkey–EU Customs Union, established in 1995, has been a defining feature of trade relations between Turkey and the European Union. Over the past three decades, the global economic landscape has evolved significantly, necessitating a modernization of the agreement to address new trade realities, regulatory developments, and emerging geopolitical challenges.

Videos - Turkey

Türkiye'deki 31 Mart Yerel Seçimleri ve Fakirleşmenin Ahı

April 1, 2024
by Ömer Güler, published on 1 April 2024
Ömer Güler 31 Mart yerel seçim sonuçlarını, CHP'nin başarısını ve AKP'nin kan kaybını çeşitli boyutlarıyla değerlendirdi.

Moskova ile Ankara’nın Ortak Zaafı

March 25, 2024
by Haşim Tekineş, published on 25 March 2024
instituDE Dış Politika Analisti Haşim Tekineş katıldığı programda Moskova'da IŞiD tarafından 22 Mart'ta düzenlenen terör saldırısını Türkiye'yi ilgilendiren boyutlarıyla anlattı.

Moskova Saldırısı ve IŞID'in Horasan Kolu

March 25, 2024
Moskova saldırısının arkasındaki Isis-K, yani Işid Horasan grubu kim? Saldırının arkasındaki motivasyon ne? Neden Moskova? Saldırganların Türkiye bağlantısı ne anlama geliyor? instituDE politika analisti Haşim Tekineş tüm bu soruların cevaplarını ele aldı.

Erdoğan Kahire'ye, F16'lar Türkiye'ye, F35'ler Yunanistan'a

February 18, 2024
by Ömer Güler and Haşim Tekineş, published on 18 February 2024
Ömer Güler ve Haşim Tekineş Erdoğan'ın Mısır ziyaretini, Bilal Erdoğan'ın ziyarette protokolde yer almasını, F-16 alımına dair ABD Senatosu'nun onayını, Yunanistan'ın F-35 alımını ve Ege'de hava gücü üstünlüğünde Yunaninstan'ın avantajlı hale gelmesini ele aldılar.

Putin Ankara Ziyaretini Neden İptal Etti?

February 9, 2024
by Haşim Tekineş, published on 9 February 2024
#Rusya'da ve #Türkiye'de Mart ayında yapılacak seçimlere yaklaşılırken, #Putin bu hafta Türkiye'ye yapacağını duyurduğu ziyareti iptal etti. #DışGündem'de Haşim Tekineş bu gelişmeyi değerlendirdi.

Türkiye ve Venezuela arasındaki benzerlikler

January 15, 2024
by İmdat Öner, published on 15 January 2024
Latin Amerika uzmanı İmdat Öner katıldığı programda Türkiye ve Venezuela arasındaki benzerlikleri ekonomik, idari ve hukuki yönleri dahil tüm boyutlarıyla