Institute for Diplomacy and Economy

OPINIONS

Labour’s Defeat and Reform’s Rise: What the May 2026 Elections Really Show

by Mehmet Demirbaş, published on 9 May 2026
The 2026 elections were not simply a bad night for the governing Labour Party. They were a rejection of the two-party order that has dominated British politics for decades. In England’s local elections, both Labour and the Conservatives suffered heavy losses, while Reform UK became the main political story. Based on the latest reported results, Reform won more than 1,400 council seats and gained control of around 14 councils. Labour fell heavily, losing well over 1,000 seats and control of dozens of councils.

Changing Strategic Calculations in Ankara

by Haşim Tekineş, published on 9 May 2026
Turkish foreign policy has undergone constant transformation under President Erdoğan’s rule since 2002. Zero problem with neighbors, trading state, neo-Ottomanism, and precious loneliness are some well-known terms coined to symbolize the periods of this transformation. President Erdoğan and his close circle lead this change in interaction with global developments and domestic politics.

Almanya’nın Yeni Askeri Stratejisi Ne Anlama Geliyor?

by Yasir Gökçe, published on 29 April 2026
Almanya'nın Nisan 2026'da yayımlanan yeni askeri stratejisi ("Gesamtkonzeption militärische Verteidigung"), ülkenin savunma politikasında bir dönüm noktasını temsil etmektedir. Federal Cumhuriyet tarihinde bir ilk olan bu kapsamlı doküman, değişen küresel güvenlik mimarisine ve özellikle Rusya'dan kaynaklanan artan tehditlere karşı Berlin'in yanıtını oluşturmaktadır.

Crude Economics: Suriname’s Oil Boom Could Soon Go Bust

by Arman Sidhu, published on 21 April 2026
Suriname, a small South American country of roughly 640,000 people located between Guyana and French Guiana, is about to become rich. In October 2024, the French oil major TotalEnergies and its American partner APA Corporation committed $10.5 billion to a single deepwater project off its coast. When production begins in 2028, the country will pump 220,000 barrels a day. Revenue over the life of the field could reach $26 billion, more than six times the size of Suriname’s current $4.3 billion economy.

Uganda’da Generallikten Fenomenliğe: Kainerugaba’nın Türkiye Meselesi

by Mustafa Enes Esen, published on 14 April 2026
“Türkiye’den 1 milyar doların yanı sıra, en güzel kadınını da kendime eş olarak istiyorum.” diye sosyal medyadan tehditler savuran Uganda Genelkurmay Başkanı Muhoozi Kainerugaba’nın sözleri Türkiye’de alay konusu oldu.

What Comes Next in the U.S./Israel–Iran Conflict? Mapping the Escalation Trajectory

by Mehmet Akif Koç, published on 6 April 2026
While it remains too early to fully assess the long-term consequences of the Gaza war, one outcome is obvious: whatever Hamas hoped to achieve on October 7, the fallout has significantly undermined Iran's quasi-hegemonic position in the region.

REPORTS

Navigating Supply-Change Security: NIS2 and Beyond

by Dr. Yasir Gökçe, Thomas Krüger and Stefan Hartmann, published on 26 March 2026
This report provides a structured analysis of supply chain security under NIS2 and related frameworks. Section 2 outlines the legal and normative landscape, including EU-level, national-level, and entity-level risk assessment obligations, and examines how NIS2 interacts with CRA, GDPR, DORA, and relevant ISO standards.

Turkey's Vision For a New Syria

by Mustafa Enes Esen, Haşim Tekineş, Mehmet Demirbaş and Servet Akman, published on 14 February 2026
This report analyzes Turkey’s vision for Syria following the fall of the Assad family and the rise of the HTS under the leadership of Ahmad al-Sharaa. In this regard, it focuses on the foreign actors that, alongside Turkey, now have the greatest ability to shape Syria’s future: namely the United States and Israel.

Electrifying Turkey's Roads: EV Adoption Scenarios & Their Impact on Oil Imports

by Baki Kaya, Ömer Güler, Harun Güngör, and Mustafa Enes Esen, published on 10 September 2025
This study evaluates, through long-term projections to 2053, the potential impact of increased EV penetration on Turkey’s energy landscape. It provides a comparative assessment of how changes in the share of EVs within the total vehicle fleet, across several scenario frameworks, could influence fuel demand and petroleum import volumes. A second, closely related objective is to measure the scale of Turkey’s oil dependency in order to establish a basis for examining its policy implications.

VIDEOS

Türkiye ve İsrail Donanmalar Karşı Karşıya Gelebilir!

by Haşim Tekineş, published on 5 May 2026
"Türkiye ve İsrail Donanmalar Karşı Karşıya Gelebilir!"

AİHM'den Yeni İhlal Kararı

by Hakan Kaplankaya and Haşim Tekineş, published on 5 May 2026
Bu videoda Avrupa İnsan Hakları Mahkemesi’nin (AİHM) Büyük Daire’den çıkan Yasak kararını ve bu kararın Türkiye’deki davalar açısından ne anlama geldiğini ele alıyoruz.

Türkiye'ye karşı Fransa-Yunanistan askeri ittifakı mı?

by Haşim tekineş, published on 2 May 2026
Avrupa Komisyonu Başkanı Von der Leyen'in Türkiye'yi "dış rakip" olarak tanımlaması ve Macron'un Yunanistan'a destek sözü Ankara'yı karşı karşıya getirdi. Türkiye-AB ilişkilerinde son kriz ne anlama geliyor?

BOOK REVIEWS

Sis, Pus ve Daha Fazla Kaynak Tüketimi

by Enes Esen, published on 10 January 2026
1952 yılının Aralık ayında İngiltere’de kış normalden soğuk geçiyordu. Halk ısınmak için normalden daha fazla kömür yakmak durumunda kaldı. Avrupa’dan esen ters rüzgarla birlikte yoğun bir sis tabakası Londra’nın üzerine çöktü. Sis yüzünden insanlar burnunun dibini göremiyordu. Otobüs seferleri iptal edildi, arabalar yol kenarlarında terk edildi.

Bir Ailenin İzinde Gürcistan’ın Geçmiş Yüzyılı: Sekizinci Hayat

by Ömer Güler, published on 15 September 2025
Gürcü yazar Nino Haratischwili “The Eighth Life: (for Brilka)” (Sekizinci Hayat ismiyle Türkçeye çevrilmiş) adlı romanında 1900’lerden başlayarak 2000’lerin ortalarına kadar Jashi ailesinin hayat hikayesi üzerinden Sovyetler Birliği ve Gürcistan tarihine ışık tutuyor. Tarihi gerçeklere uygun bir şekilde ilerleyen roman, kurgu karakterlerle, anlattığı dönemlerin çok daha iyi anlaşılmasını sağlıyor.

Soldier, Society, and Politics in Turkey: A Study on Soldiers’ Life Stories

by Haşim Tekineş, published on 16 August 2025
Hakan Şahin’s Türkiye’de Asker, Toplum ve Siyaset: Askerlerin Yaşam Anlatıları Üzerinden Bir Okuma (Soldier, Society, and Politics in Turkey: A Study on Soldiers’ Life Stories) offers a unique insider perspective on the Turkish military and soldiers’ understanding of the outside world. In this sense, the study fills an important gap in the literature on civil-military relations in Turkey.