Opinions - Global Economy

India’s Position in the Chips Industry

India’s Position in the Chips Industry

by Shogo Hiruta, published on 27 July 2026
In February 2026, India joined the Pax Silica Declaration, a US-led supply-chain framework designed to secure mainly critical minerals and semiconductors (also known as chips). Prior to that, the Indian government established India Semiconductor Mission (ISM) in 2021 to strengthen the domestic semiconductor ecosystem by about 10 billion US dollars of subsidy. For years, India’s semiconductor ambition has attracted less attention than the equivalents in the USA, EU, Japan and South Korea. As American memory giant Micron Technology started its manufacturing in Gujarat in February 2026, India’s ambitions seem to finally start making progress with international and domestic supports.
The New Energy Routes Out of the Gulf

The New Energy Routes Out of the Gulf

by Mustafa Enes Esen, published on 23 July 2026
Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz may ultimately prove more consequential than its military campaign in reshaping the region's energy landscape. Saudi Arabia is operating its pipeline to the Red Sea at capacity and evaluating an expansion. The United Arab Emirates is constructing a second line to bypass Hormuz.
Europe Is Desperate for Chips, but the Outlook Doesn't Look Promising

Europe Is Desperate for Chips, but the Outlook Doesn't Look Promising

by Shogo Hiruta, published on 1 July 2026
On June 14–15, 2026, Japan's Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi visited London and Rome signed a range of agreements on defense, clean energy, and technology with her British and Italian counterparts. The biggest news to supply chain watchers was a pair of memorandum of understanding (MoU) signed by Rapidus — Japan's state-backed advanced semiconductor foundry — with the UK Semiconductor Centre and Italy's Chips-IT.
Avrupa Birliği'nin Gözden Kaçırılan Ticaret Anlaşmaları Avantajı

Avrupa Birliği'nin Gözden Kaçırılan Ticaret Anlaşmaları Avantajı

by Mehmet Demirbaş, published on 25 June 2026
Avrupa Birliği, onlarca yıldır ekonomik bütünleşme, serbest ticaret anlaşmaları ve ortak pazar sayesinde dünya ekonomisinde söz sahibi bir aktör oldu. Ama son yıllardaki ticaret savaşları, enerji krizleri ve jeopolitik gerilimler bu gücün ne kadar sağlam olduğunu tartışmaya açtı. Bazıları Avrupa’nın eski avantajını kaybettiğini söylerken, diğerleri AB'nin hala ciddi bir güç kaynağı olduğunu savunuyor.
Crude Economics: Suriname’s Oil Boom Could Soon Go Bust

Crude Economics: Suriname’s Oil Boom Could Soon Go Bust

by Arman Sidhu, published on 21 April 2026
Suriname, a small South American country of roughly 640,000 people located between Guyana and French Guiana, is about to become rich. In October 2024, the French oil major TotalEnergies and its American partner APA Corporation committed $10.5 billion to a single deepwater project off its coast. When production begins in 2028, the country will pump 220,000 barrels a day. Revenue over the life of the field could reach $26 billion, more than six times the size of Suriname’s current $4.3 billion economy.
Filling the Vacuum: China’s Graphite Strategy in Northern Mozambique

Filling the Vacuum: China’s Graphite Strategy in Northern Mozambique

by Arman Sidhu, published on 30 March 2026
The Nipepe plant is the clearest signal yet that Beijing is extending its control over critical mineral supply chains beyond Chinese borders, moving upstream into African extraction and processing at the precise moment Western operators have pulled back. The implications for the global battery supply chain, and for European and American efforts to diversify away from Chinese mineral dependence, are significant.

Reports - Global Economy

TURKEY'S RARE ELEMENTS: CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES - THE BEYLİKOVA CASE

TURKEY'S RARE ELEMENTS: CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES - THE BEYLİKOVA CASE

by Mustafa Enes Esen, Ömer Güler, Harun Güngör and Dr. İmdat Öner, published on 21 May 2026
This report is addressed to two audiences simultaneously: Turkish policymakers weighing how to develop the Beylikova deposit, and Western governments and companies assessing whether Turkey is a credible partner in their supply chain diversification strategies. It examines both the opportunities Turkey’s entry into the rare earth sector could realistically generate and the structural obstacles that stand between the current situation and those outcomes.
Turkey's Vision For a New Syria

Turkey's Vision For a New Syria

by Mustafa Enes Esen, Haşim Tekineş, Mehmet Demirbaş and Servet Akman, published on 14 February 2026
This report analyzes Turkey’s vision for Syria following the fall of the Assad family and the rise of the HTS under the leadership of Ahmad al-Sharaa. In this regard, it focuses on the foreign actors that, alongside Turkey, now have the greatest ability to shape Syria’s future: namely the United States and Israel.
Electrifying Turkey's Roads: EV Adoption Scenarios & Their Impact on Oil Imports

Electrifying Turkey's Roads: EV Adoption Scenarios & Their Impact on Oil Imports

by Baki Kaya, Ömer Güler, Harun Güngör, and Mustafa Enes Esen, published on 10 September 2025
This study evaluates, through long-term projections to 2053, the potential impact of increased EV penetration on Turkey’s energy landscape. It provides a comparative assessment of how changes in the share of EVs within the total vehicle fleet, across several scenario frameworks, could influence fuel demand and petroleum import volumes. A second, closely related objective is to measure the scale of Turkey’s oil dependency in order to establish a basis for examining its policy implications.
MODERNIZING THE TURKEY–EU CUSTOMS UNION: ISSUES AND PROSPECTS

MODERNIZING THE TURKEY–EU CUSTOMS UNION: ISSUES AND PROSPECTS

by instituDE, published in March 2025
The Turkey–EU Customs Union, established in 1995, has been a defining feature of trade relations between Turkey and the European Union. Over the past three decades, the global economic landscape has evolved significantly, necessitating a modernization of the agreement to address new trade realities, regulatory developments, and emerging geopolitical challenges.
TURKEY'S GROWING ROLE IN GLOBAL COCAINE TRAFFICKING

TURKEY'S GROWING ROLE IN GLOBAL COCAINE TRAFFICKING

by Dr. İmdat Öner, Halil Çavuş, Ömer Güler and Mustafa Enes Esen, published on 17 September 2024
This report focuses on Turkey's prominence as an emerging market for cocaine trafficking and organized crime in the last decade. Cocaine production in Latin America has dramatically increased since 2013, and Turkey’s status as an emerging market has attracted the attention of Latin American government officials on the front lines of the cocaine trade.
WEAPONIZING FINANCIAL SYSTEMS: ERDOĞAN'S TRANSNATIONAL REPRESSION TO MUZZLE DISSIDENTS ABROAD

WEAPONIZING FINANCIAL SYSTEMS: ERDOĞAN'S TRANSNATIONAL REPRESSION TO MUZZLE DISSIDENTS ABROAD

by Dr. Yasir Gökçe, Mayra Russo and Sara Kezia Heinonen, published on 29 August 2024
This report sets out to provide a comprehensive analysis of the tactics employed by the Erdoğan administration to achieve repressive goals abroad and the vulnerabilities and how they are enabled by the AML and CFT regulation in place.

Videos - Global Economy

BAE OPEC'ten Ayrılıyor!

April 29, 2026
by Haşim Tekineş, published on 29 April 2026
instituDE Dış Politika Analisti Hasim Tekines Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri (BAE) ve Suudi Arabistan arasındaki siyasi gerginliği ve BAE'nin OPEC'ten ayrılma kararı almasını ele aldı

Trump ve Yeni Kapitalizm

September 18, 2025
by Mehmet Demirbaş end Haşim Tekineş, published on 18 September 2025
Kapitalizmin merkezi Amerika'da devlet ve piyasa ilişkileri yeniden şekilleniyor. Mehmet Demirbaş ve Haşim Tekineş bu hafta kapitalizmin geçirdiği bu değişimi ve küresel etkilerini tartıştı.

“Mukayeseli Tutarsızlıklar”Trump Neyi Yanlış Yapıyor?

April 14, 2025
by Mehmet Demirbaş and Ömer Güler, published on 14 April 2025
Amerika'nın küresel ticarette benimsediği bu dalgalı yaklaşım, sadece Çin’i değil tüm dünyayı etkiliyor. Peki bu strateji işe yarıyor mu, yoksa kendi kendini sabote eden bir yaklaşım mı? Detaylar videoda.

BRICS ZİRVESİ: ‘Öteki Dünya’ Rusya’da

October 23, 2024
instituDE'nin bu yayınında Dış Politika Analisti Haşim Tekineş, bu hafta Rusya'nın Kazan şehrinde düzenlenen BRICS zirvesinde, Xijinping ve Putin ikili görüşmesi, Kazakistan'ın neden BRICS'e katılmak istemediği, Erdoğan BRICS zirvesi temasları, Türkiye'nin BRICS adaylığı başvurusu konularını irdeledi.

Türkiye Neden Koridorun Dışında?

September 20, 2023
by Haşim Tekineş, published on 20 September 2023
'Dış Gündem'de Haşim Tekineş bu hafta G-20 Zirvesi'nde duyurulan Hindistan-Ortadoğu-Avrupa ticari rotasına Türkiye'nin dahil edilmemesini ve Türkiye'nin bu rotayı kendi topraklarına çekmek için yaptığı hamleleri ele aldı.

BRICS, G20 ve Amerika-Çin Rekabeti

September 14, 2023
by Ömer Güler and Haşim Tekineş, published on 14 September 2023
'Dışı İçi Bir'de bu hafta Haşim Tekineş ve Ömer Güler, BRICS'e yeni üyelerin katılımını, geçen haftaki G-20 zirvesinin önemli gündemlerini, Hindistan-Ortadoğu-Avrupa hattında oluşturulması planlanan ve Türkiye'yi kapsamayacak ticaret yolunu ve ABD-Çin rekabetini ele aldılar.