Opinions - Turkey

The Cost of Deteriorating Turkey–Israel Relations

The Cost of Deteriorating Turkey–Israel Relations

by Mustafa Enes Esen, published on 8 November 2025
The bilateral relationship between Turkey and Israel have experienced its ebbs and flows, but since the war in Gaza, the trajectory has remained mostly downward. The Trump administration has so far exerted pressure on Israel and Turkey to settle their differences. Yet this does not mean that the worsening of relations with Israel comes without costs for Turkey.
Ahmet Davutoğlu’nun Üç Günü

Ahmet Davutoğlu’nun Üç Günü

by Ömer Güler, published on 31 October 2025
Ahmet Davutoğlu AKP döneminin en fazla tartışılan ve Türk Dış Politikasına en çok etki eden dışişleri bakanlarından biridir. Bunu olumlu veya olumsuz anlam yüklemekten ziyade bir durum tespiti olarak ifade ediyorum. Bugün bile Türkiye’nin Suriye politikasının getirdiği mülteci sorunundan dolayı Ahmet Davutoğlu kimi haklı kimi haksız gerekçelerle ağır bir şekilde eleştiriliyor.
Why Turkey May Not Let Hamas Wither Away

Why Turkey May Not Let Hamas Wither Away

by Mustafa Enes Esen, published on 23 October 2025
Under the terms of Trump's 20-point Gaza peace plan, Hamas is expected to transfer control of Gaza first to an international body and eventually to the Palestinian Authority (PA). The Trump administration anticipates that Hamas will eventually wither away as this process unfolds. Ankara, however, may be reluctant to go along with this process.
Will Turkey Acquire Nuclear Weapons?

Will Turkey Acquire Nuclear Weapons?

by Mustafa Enes Esen, published on 9 October 2025
For decades, Turkey has relied on NATO’s nuclear deterrence, with U.S. warheads stationed at Incirlik Air Base. But shifting regional dynamics have begun to test this arrangement. Israel’s military operations in Syria, its regional overreach, and uncertainty over NATO’s willingness to defend Turkey raise a troubling question: could Ankara rethink its nuclear stance?
Game of Thrones in Ankara

Game of Thrones in Ankara

by Haşim Tekineş, published on 5 October 2025
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan was cordially received by U.S. President Donald Trump at the White House on September 25. Progovernment media celebrated the Oval Office meeting with U.S. President Donald Trump as a diplomatic success that might reset troubled U.S.-Turkey relations. Yet, instead of opening a new page with Washington, Erdoğan’s visit unexpectedly highlighted something else: the question of succession and the rivalries within his own circle.
Erdoğan'ın Beyaz Saray Ziyaretine Dair Uzmanlarımızın Görüşleri

Erdoğan'ın Beyaz Saray Ziyaretine Dair Uzmanlarımızın Görüşleri

by Mehmet Demirbaş, İmdat Öner, Mustafa Enes Esen, published on 25 September 2025
Cumhurbaşkanı Erdoğan, ABD Başkanı Trump tarafından 25 Eylül günü Beyaz Saray’da kabul edildi. Uzmanlarımız Erdoğan’ın Vaşington ziyaretini değerlendirdi.

Reports - Turkey

Turkey's Vision For a New Syria

Turkey's Vision For a New Syria

by Mustafa Enes Esen, Haşim Tekineş, Mehmet Demirbaş and Servet Akman, published on 14 February 2026
This report analyzes Turkey’s vision for Syria following the fall of the Assad family and the rise of the HTS under the leadership of Ahmad al-Sharaa. In this regard, it focuses on the foreign actors that, alongside Turkey, now have the greatest ability to shape Syria’s future: namely the United States and Israel.
Electrifying Turkey's Roads: EV Adoption Scenarios & Their Impact on Oil Imports

Electrifying Turkey's Roads: EV Adoption Scenarios & Their Impact on Oil Imports

by Baki Kaya, Ömer Güler, Harun Güngör, and Mustafa Enes Esen, published on 10 September 2025
This study evaluates, through long-term projections to 2053, the potential impact of increased EV penetration on Turkey’s energy landscape. It provides a comparative assessment of how changes in the share of EVs within the total vehicle fleet, across several scenario frameworks, could influence fuel demand and petroleum import volumes. A second, closely related objective is to measure the scale of Turkey’s oil dependency in order to establish a basis for examining its policy implications.
Geopolitical Constraints of Turkey's Energy Hub Ambitions

Geopolitical Constraints of Turkey's Energy Hub Ambitions

by Mustafa Enes Esen, published on 8 July 2025
This study focuses on the geopolitical dimensions and constraints shaping Turkey’s ambition to become a natural gas hub. The emphasis is on Turkey’s diplomatic relations with key supplier countries, the political instability across the wider Middle East, and the limited capacity of neighboring states to produce and export gas reliably—factors that collectively can make or undermine Turkey’s hub ambitions.
MODERNIZING THE TURKEY–EU CUSTOMS UNION: ISSUES AND PROSPECTS

MODERNIZING THE TURKEY–EU CUSTOMS UNION: ISSUES AND PROSPECTS

by instituDE, published in March 2025
The Turkey–EU Customs Union, established in 1995, has been a defining feature of trade relations between Turkey and the European Union. Over the past three decades, the global economic landscape has evolved significantly, necessitating a modernization of the agreement to address new trade realities, regulatory developments, and emerging geopolitical challenges.
TURKEY‘S MASS PURGE AS VIOLATIONS OF THE RIGHT TO PARTICIPATE IN PUBLIC SERVICE IN ICCPR

TURKEY‘S MASS PURGE AS VIOLATIONS OF THE RIGHT TO PARTICIPATE IN PUBLIC SERVICE IN ICCPR

by instituDE, published on 23 October 2024
'A gift from God' was one of Erdoğan's first descriptions related to coup attempt in July 15. At first no one realized that God's gift meant a chaotic environment in which he needed to declare a national emergency with no checks and balances and then transform Türkiye’s parliamentary democracy into an executive presidency.
JUDICIAL CORRUPTION IN TÜRKİYE

JUDICIAL CORRUPTION IN TÜRKİYE

by instituDE and Arrested Lawyers, published on October 2024
This submission to the Universal Periodic Review (UPR) highlights severe issues undermining the integrity of Türkiye's judiciary, particularly focusing on rampant judicial corruption and impunity as well as human rights abuses which they facilitate. Based on the most recent incidents of corruption concerning members of the judiciary who serve in courts in Istanbul, Izmir and Ankara, this report seeks to examine the high-level corruption within the judiciary and the Turkish government’s failure or even willful ignorance in addressing it.

Videos - Turkey

Haftanın Ortası - Suikastler, Savaşlar ve Seçimler

August 1, 2024
by Ali Dinçer and Haşim Tekineş, published on 1 August 2024
Ali Dinçer ve Haşim Tekineş'in haftanın öne çıkan uluslararası gündemlerini ele aldıkları yeni yayınımızda, İsrail'in Hamas liderlerine yönelik suikast saldırıları, Erdoğan'ın İsrail'e yönelik açıklamaları, bölgesel savaş senaryoları ve ABD seçim sürecine ilişkin son gelişmeler değerlendirildi.

Trump Turkiye'ye Ne Yapar?

July 18, 2024
by Haşim Tekineş, published on 18 July 2024
ABD Başkanlık Seçimlerini kazanacağı tahmin edilen Trump'ın 2. dönemi beraberinde neler getirecek? instituDE dış politika analisti Haşim Tekineş yanıtladı.

Hakan Fidan'dan Çin'in Uygur Politikasına Destek

June 18, 2024
by Haşim Tekineş, published on 17 June 2024
#DışGündem'de instituDE Dış Politika Analisti Haşim Tekineş, #HakanFidan'ın 3-5 Haziran tarihlerinde #Çin ve #Uygur bölgesine yaptığı ziyareti çeşitli boyutlarıyle ele aldı.

AİHM ve Yalçınkaya Kararından Şüphelenmeli Miyiz?

April 26, 2024
by Hakan Kaplankaya and Mehmet Bozkaya, published on 26 April 2024
Hukuk Günlüğü'nün yeni bölümünde Hakan Kaplankaya ve Mehmet Bozkaya AİHM ve Yalçınkaya kararı hakkındaki şüphe ve tereddütleri ele aldılar.

Erdoğan ve Biden Arasında Soğuk Rüzgarlar Mı Esiyor?

April 22, 2024
by Haşim Tekineş and Ömer Murat, published on 22 April 2024
instituDE DışGündem'de Dış Politika Uzmanı Ömer Murat, Erdoğan ve Biden arasındaki soğukluğa, Erdoğan'ın Vaşington ziyaretinin iptaline, Rasmussen planının detaylarına ve İran ile İsrail arasındaki savaş tiyatrosuna ilişkin Haşim Tekineş'in sorularını yanıtladı.

Avrupa'ya İltica Etmek Zorlaşıyor Mu?

April 22, 2024
by Haşim Tekineş and Mehmet Bozkaya, published on 22 April 2024
Haşim Tekineş ve Mehmet Bozkaya Avrupa Birliği'nin yeni iltica ve göç paktını ele aldılar. Yeni mevzuat hangi değişiklikleri beraberinde getirecek? Mevzuat ne zaman yürürlüğe girecek? Mevzuata ilişkin eleştiriler neler? Türkiye'den gelen başvurucular için yeni mevzuatın etkileri neler olacak? Bu soruların yanıtları ve daha fazlası yayınımızda.