Opinions - North America

İran–İsrail Savaşı: Askerî Gerçeklikler ve Güç Dengesindeki Aşınma

İran–İsrail Savaşı: Askerî Gerçeklikler ve Güç Dengesindeki Aşınma

by Ahmet Kalafat, published on 6 March 2026
İran ile İsrail arasında giderek tırmanan çatışma hakkında yapılan yorumların önemli bir bölümü, savaşın gerçek askerî dinamiklerinden çok algılar üzerinden şekillenmektedir. Özellikle bazı analizlerde ABD ve İsrail’in stratejik hedeflerine ulaşamadığı veya planlarının başarısız olduğu yönünde iddialar öne sürülmektedir.
Ankara Expects the Iranian Regime to Survive but Risks for Turkey Persist

Ankara Expects the Iranian Regime to Survive but Risks for Turkey Persist

by Mustafa Enes Esen, published on 5 March 2026
The Turkish government views the potential collapse of the Iranian regime as a harbinger of regional instability. Nonetheless, Ankara remains convinced that the Iranian regime will survive this ordeal, even after the assassination of Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei.
Three Phases of Turkish-American Relations in Syria

Three Phases of Turkish-American Relations in Syria

by Haşim Tekineş, published on 20 February 2026
The Syrian civil war has had a major impact on relations between Turkey and the United States. Syria has created both areas of cooperation and sources of tension between the two countries. As interests and the regional balance of power shifted, the nature of the relationship also changed.
Why Turkey Chooses Continuity Over Change in Iran

Why Turkey Chooses Continuity Over Change in Iran

by Mustafa Enes Esen, published on 6 February 2026
Ankara has repeatedly made clear that it opposes a military intervention against Iran. President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan stated again on February 5: “We are doing everything to prevent these tensions between the United States and Iran from driving the region into a new conflict and chaos. We clearly expressed our opposition to a military intervention in Iran.” To this end, the Turkish government has also formed a sort of ad hoc alignment with regional countries to lobby the Trump administration against war.
From Multilateralism to Power Politics: U.S. Trade Agreements and the Weakening of the WTO

From Multilateralism to Power Politics: U.S. Trade Agreements and the Weakening of the WTO

by Yasir Gökçe, published on 29 January 2026
One further step taken by the United States to undermine the financial frameworks associated with the WTO is the instrumentalization of international law itself to that end. This development is particularly striking because it involves leveraging the very legal mechanisms that were originally designed to construct and safeguard the institutional foundations upon which the WTO rests.
Would Turks in Iran Pursue Independence Amid Turmoil? A Framework Analysis

Would Turks in Iran Pursue Independence Amid Turmoil? A Framework Analysis

by Mehmet Akif Koç, published on 21 January 2026
Iran built an extensive sphere of influence across the Middle East between 2003 and 2023. This influence has largely—at least for the time being—collapsed following the 2023 war in Gaza with Hamas, the 2024 conflict in Lebanon with Hezbollah, and the December 2024 fall of Syria’s Baath regime. Together, they formed the backbone of Iran’s regional influence.

Reports - North America

Turkey's Vision For a New Syria

Turkey's Vision For a New Syria

by Mustafa Enes Esen, Haşim Tekineş, Mehmet Demirbaş and Servet Akman, published on 14 February 2026
This report analyzes Turkey’s vision for Syria following the fall of the Assad family and the rise of the HTS under the leadership of Ahmad al-Sharaa. In this regard, it focuses on the foreign actors that, alongside Turkey, now have the greatest ability to shape Syria’s future: namely the United States and Israel.
TURKEY'S GROWING ROLE IN GLOBAL COCAINE TRAFFICKING

TURKEY'S GROWING ROLE IN GLOBAL COCAINE TRAFFICKING

by Dr. İmdat Öner, Halil Çavuş, Ömer Güler and Mustafa Enes Esen, published on 17 September 2024
This report focuses on Turkey's prominence as an emerging market for cocaine trafficking and organized crime in the last decade. Cocaine production in Latin America has dramatically increased since 2013, and Turkey’s status as an emerging market has attracted the attention of Latin American government officials on the front lines of the cocaine trade.
ABD'NİN ÇİN TEHDİDİ ALGISI VE PASİFİK'TE DEĞİŞEN DENGELER

ABD'NİN ÇİN TEHDİDİ ALGISI VE PASİFİK'TE DEĞİŞEN DENGELER

by Mehmet Demirbaş, Enes Esen and Tolga Güneş, published on 13 June 2024
Küresel güç dengelerinin yeniden şekillendiği bir dönemden geçmekteyiz. Asya ülkelerinin güçlü ekonomik performansı nedeniyle dünyanın ağırlık merkezi Batı’dan Doğu’ya doğru kaymaktadır. Özellikle Çin’in hızlı yükselişi yeniden çok kutuplu bir dünyanın oluşmaya başladığına işaret etmektedir.

Videos - North America

Biden vs. Trump on Ukraine: Who’s Right?

March 23, 2025
by Haşim Tekineş, published on 23 March 2025
In this video, we break down Biden’s and Trump’s Ukraine policies, their different endgames, and how their choices shape US foreign policy, NATO, and the global balance of power. Is Biden’s cold-blooded strategy the best way to contain Russia, or is Trump’s push for a ceasefire actually the smarter move?

Ve Ticaret Savaşları Başladı!

March 5, 2025
by Mehmet Demirbaş and Haşim Tekineş, published on 5 March 2025
Amerikan Başkanı Donald Trump Kanada, Meksika ve Çin'e gümrük vergileri koydu. Trump AB'ye de vergi koyacağını belirtiyor. Bu vergiler Amerika'yı, dünya ekonomisini ve Türkiye'yi nasıl etkileyecek?

Beyaz Saray'da Kavga: Oval Ofis'te Trump-Zelenski Atışması

March 1, 2025
by Haşim Tekineş, published on 1 March 2025
Ukrayna devlet başkanı Zelenski'nin Beyaz Saray ziyareti ters tepti. Trump ve Zelenski arasındaki ilişkiler yumuşayacak diye beklerken taraflar arasındaki ilişki daha beter bir şekilde koptu.

Why Is Erdoğan Unhappy with the US-Russia Talks?

February 20, 2025
by Haşim Tekineş, published on 20 February 2025
US President Donald Trump decided to initiate direct talks with Russia to end the war in Ukraine.

Roosevelt'ten Trump'a Amerikan Siyasetini Anlamak

February 17, 2025
by Haşim Tekineş and Furkan Yeşildal, published on 17 February 2025
Furkan Yeşildal ve instituDE Dış Politika Analisti Haşim Tekineş Roosevelt'ten bugüne ABD siyasetinin nasıl doğru anlaşılabileceğini ele aldılar.

Ukrayna'da Ateşkes Mümkün mü?

February 13, 2025
by Haşim Tekineş, published on 13 February 2025
instituDE Dış Politika Analisti Haşim Tekineş, devam eden Trump Fırtınası'nı ve Ukrayna'da ateşkesin mümkün olup olmadığını ele aldı.