Opinions - Middle East and North Africa

Would Turkey Follow Saudi Arabia into Yemen?

Would Turkey Follow Saudi Arabia into Yemen?

by Mustafa Enes Esen, published on 14 September 2026
Over the weekend of September 11–13, Yemen's Houthis captured the Red Sea port of Mocha and the island of Perim, completing their takeover of Yemen's Red Sea coast and increasing their control over the Bab al-Mandeb strait. Saudi Arabia was forced to shut down a critical oil pipeline that had become one of the kingdom's principal outlets to the sea after Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz.
Japan and Israel Move Closer

Japan and Israel Move Closer

by Shogo Hiruta, published on 31 August 2026
The Israeli government is exploring closer cooperation with Japan on semiconductor technology, and Tokyo has already approved subsidies for an Israeli chip investment in Japan. The investment's importance, however, extends beyond commerce, reflecting an intent to deepen ties between the two countries.
South Korea’s Arctic Route Should Be a Strategic Backup, Not a New Suez

South Korea’s Arctic Route Should Be a Strategic Backup, Not a New Suez

by Ju Hyung Kim, publised on 30 August 2026
South Korea’s first trial container voyage via the Arctic route should not be viewed simply as an experiment for faster shipping. Its genuine implication hinges on a more difficult question: how could South Korea, one of the most trade-dependent countries in the world, minimize exposure to maritime disruption without creating new geopolitical vulnerabilities?
The Mecca Agreement Is Goodwill, Not a Shield

The Mecca Agreement Is Goodwill, Not a Shield

by Mustafa Enes Esen, published on 17 August 2026
The leaders of Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan signed the Mecca Joint Defense Agreement on August 7, declaring that an armed attack on any one of the three countries would be treated as an attack on all. The agreement is open to other countries, with Egypt and Qatar among the states that could potentially join.
Our Experts Assess the Turkey-Saudi Arabia-Pakistan Defense Pact

Our Experts Assess the Turkey-Saudi Arabia-Pakistan Defense Pact

by Servet Akman, Mustafa Enes Esen and Ömer Güler, published on 8 August 2026
On August 7, 2026, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and Pakistan signed a trilateral defense pact in Mecca, each committing to treat an attack on one as an attack on all. Coming amid the Iran-US war and a renewed Houthi threat to Saudi Arabia, the agreement has drawn immediate comparison to NATO's Article 5. Our experts weigh in.
Why Caution Is Warranted in Turkey’s PKK Deal

Why Caution Is Warranted in Turkey’s PKK Deal

by Mustafa Enes Esen, published on 7 August 2026
Turkey stands closer to ending its four-decade war with the PKK. A draft framework law, the product of more than two years of negotiations with the imprisoned PKK leader Abdullah Öcalan, reached parliament this week, and a plenary vote is expected soon. An end to the armed conflict would benefit Turkey and the wider region. The way the government has drafted the law and managed the process, however, carries several warning signs that temper such optimism.

Reports - Middle East and North Africa

Turkey's Vision For a New Syria

Turkey's Vision For a New Syria

by Mustafa Enes Esen, Haşim Tekineş, Mehmet Demirbaş and Servet Akman, published on 14 February 2026
This report analyzes Turkey’s vision for Syria following the fall of the Assad family and the rise of the HTS under the leadership of Ahmad al-Sharaa. In this regard, it focuses on the foreign actors that, alongside Turkey, now have the greatest ability to shape Syria’s future: namely the United States and Israel.

Videos - Middle East and North Africa

Suriye'de Zamana Karşı Yarış!

May 3, 2025
by Haşim Tekineş, published on 3 May 2025
instituDE Dış Politika Analisti Haşim Tekineş Suriye'de son haftalarda yaşanan gelişmeleri, ana aktörlerin oyun planlarını ve ülkedeki dengeleri ele aldı

Is a Turkey-Israel Clash Coming?

April 9, 2025
by Haşim Tekineş, published on 9 April 2025
In this video, we break down the rising tensions between Turkey and Israel following the fall of the Assad regime in Syria. As Ankara emerges as the dominant power in post-war Syria, Israel grows increasingly concerned about Turkish influence spreading across the region.

What is the PKK? Inside Turkey’s Recent Peace Talks

March 12, 2025
by Haşim Tekineş, published on 12 March 2025
Turkey has initiated a new round of talks with the Kurdistan Workers' Party, a.k.a. PKK. PKK's founding leader called the group to lay down their weapons and dissolve the organization. The PKK has declared a ceasefire. Turkey seems to be closer to peace more than ever. Yet, ironically, the country is getting more and more authoritarian every passing day. The question is whether the authoritarian peace is possible?

Trump Gözünü Gazze'ye Dikti!

February 5, 2025
by Haşim Tekineş, published on 5 February 2025
Amerikan Başkanı Donald Trump Gazze hakkında önemli açıklamalar yaptı. Trump #gazze nin boşaltımasını ve buraya #Amerika nın kontrol etmesini teklif etti.

Gazze’de Ateşkes(?) Ne Kadar Kalıcı

January 17, 2025
by Haşim Tekineş, published on 17 January 2025
Gazze’de Ateşkes (?) sağlandı mı? Şiddetin bilançosu? Ne kadar kalıcı?

SURİYE'DE ZAFER SARHOŞLUĞU

December 19, 2024
Türkiye Suriye'nin doğusuna operasyon mu düzenleyecek? Trump dönemine geçiş Türkiye'nin Suriye hamlelerini nasıl etkileyebilir? Suriye'deki belirsizlikler kimlere hangi fırsatları sunuyor? Ali Dinçer ve Haşim Tekineş yanıtladılar.