Opinions - Middle East and North Africa

Turkey's Bet on Syria: All in for HTS

Turkey's Bet on Syria: All in for HTS

by Mustafa Enes Esen, published on 5 January 2025
Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) faces significant challenges in governing Syria's deeply fractured society. Several reports of arbitrary killings of Alawites and skirmishes between different sects show that the Syrian government is in the early phases of power consolidation. Despite the many uncertainties clouding Syria's future, the Turkish government is fully committing its support to the country’s new government.
Shifting Geopolitics of Turkey-Israel Relations After Assad

Shifting Geopolitics of Turkey-Israel Relations After Assad

by Haşim Tekineş, published on 20 December 2024
The fall of the Assad regime marks a critical juncture in regional geopolitics, fundamentally altering the dynamics between Turkey and Israel. Historically, their relationship has oscillated between pragmatic alliances and ideological rifts. Yet, with their common enemy removed, the regional balance of power has shifted, creating new challenges and testing the resilience of their already fragile ties.
Turkey’s Prospects in Syria Depend on Peace

Turkey’s Prospects in Syria Depend on Peace

by Enes Esen, published on 12 December 2024
Both Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) and the YPG are classified as terrorist organizations by Turkey, yet these two groups have consolidated power across the Syrian landscape in the last couple of weeks. Nonetheless, the joy has been palpable both among Turkey's decision-makers and within the broader public, following the triumph of the HTS.
Ankara Eyes Opportunities Amid Syria’s Turmoil

Ankara Eyes Opportunities Amid Syria’s Turmoil

by Enes Esen, published on 1 December 2024
Syrian rebel forces launched their largest offensive against the Assad government in years on Wednesday, capturing Aleppo and advancing south toward Hama. While it is clear that Ankara had prior knowledge of the Syrian opposition’s offensive, dubbed "Stopping the Aggression," it appears to have underestimated the scale and rapidity of the regime’s collapse in Aleppo.
Körfez Ülkelerinde Ekonomiyi Çeşitlendirme Çabaları: Turizm, Kumarhaneler ve Kültürel Dönüşüm

Körfez Ülkelerinde Ekonomiyi Çeşitlendirme Çabaları: Turizm, Kumarhaneler ve Kültürel Dönüşüm

by Mustafa Enes Esen, published on 10 November 2024
Kültürel Dönüşüm Türkiye ve İsrail hariç Ortadoğu’daki ülkelerin zenginliklerinin ana kaynağını petrol ve doğalgaz üretimi teşkil ediyor. Ne var ki, elektrikli arabalar ve yenilenebilir enerji kaynaklarının yaygınlaşmasıyla birlikte fosil kaynaklara olan talep azalıyor. Bu durum, Arap ülkelerini petrole bağımlılıktan kurtulmak ve ekonomilerini çeşitlendirmek için alternatif projeler üretmeye itiyor.
Tunus’ta tek adam rejimi gölgesinde Cumhurbaşkanlığı Seçimleri

Tunus’ta tek adam rejimi gölgesinde Cumhurbaşkanlığı Seçimleri

by Mehmet Çelik, published on 5 October 2024
Tunus’ta seçim sandıkları yarın (6 Ekim) yeni Cumhurbaşkanını seçmek için bir kez daha halkın önüne konuluyor. Son yıllarda ifade özgürlüğünün kısıtlanması, sivil toplumun hareket alanının daraltılması, muhalif siyasetçi, düşünür ve aktivistlerin baskılanması, siyasal süreçlere katılımın sınırlandırılması gibi tek adam uygulamalarının sistematik hale gelmesi dikkate alındığında, Tunus’ta 6 Ekim seçimlerinin özgür, adil ve şeffaf koşullarda gerçekleşeceğini söylemek imkansız. 

Reports - Middle East and North Africa

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Videos - Middle East and North Africa

Israel vs. Iran: What It Means for Turkey

June 26, 2025
by Haşim Tekineş, published on 26 June 2025
In this in-depth analysis, we explore how Turkey is responding to the Israel–Iran war and what it means for Ankara’s security, its role in the Middle East, and its delicate balance between its alliances and rivalries. From Turkey’s historical neutrality in regional conflicts to its growing tensions with both Israel and Iran, this video takes a closer look at the biggest geopolitical shift in the Middle East — and how it could redefine Turkey’s future.

İran ve İsrail Arasında Rusya

June 25, 2025
by Haşim Tekineş and Kerim Has, published on 25 June 2025
Bu hafta instituDE'nin konuğu Dr. Kerim Has, İran-İsrail krizinde Rusya'nın pozisyonunu analiz ediyor.

Trump ve İran-İsrail Gerilimi

June 19, 2025
by Haşim Tekineş, published on 19 June 2025
Trump İran ve İsrail arasındaki gerilime katılıp katılmama konusunda yol ayrımında.

Suriye'de Zamana Karşı Yarış!

May 3, 2025
by Haşim Tekineş, published on 3 May 2025
instituDE Dış Politika Analisti Haşim Tekineş Suriye'de son haftalarda yaşanan gelişmeleri, ana aktörlerin oyun planlarını ve ülkedeki dengeleri ele aldı

Is a Turkey-Israel Clash Coming?

April 9, 2025
by Haşim Tekineş, published on 9 April 2025
In this video, we break down the rising tensions between Turkey and Israel following the fall of the Assad regime in Syria. As Ankara emerges as the dominant power in post-war Syria, Israel grows increasingly concerned about Turkish influence spreading across the region.

What is the PKK? Inside Turkey’s Recent Peace Talks

March 12, 2025
by Haşim Tekineş, published on 12 March 2025
Turkey has initiated a new round of talks with the Kurdistan Workers' Party, a.k.a. PKK. PKK's founding leader called the group to lay down their weapons and dissolve the organization. The PKK has declared a ceasefire. Turkey seems to be closer to peace more than ever. Yet, ironically, the country is getting more and more authoritarian every passing day. The question is whether the authoritarian peace is possible?