Haşim Tekineş

Haşim Tekineş

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M. Hasim Tekines is a researcher at the Brussels-based Institute for Diplomacy and Economy. Previously, he worked as a diplomat at the Turkish Ministry of Foreign Affairs. His areas of interest include Turkish foreign policy, Islamism, Middle Eastern studies, and international relations. Tekines’ studies have been published in the Journal of Politics, Religion, & Ideology, The Hague Journal of Diplomacy, Middle East Policy, and Mediterranean Politics. He has also published commentaries at Fikra Forum, National Interest, War on the Rocks.

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Opinions

Changing Strategic Calculations in Ankara

Changing Strategic Calculations in Ankara

Turkish foreign policy has undergone constant transformation under President Erdoğan’s rule since 2002. Zero problem with neighbors, trading state, neo-Ottomanism, and precious loneliness are some well-known terms coined to symbolize the periods of this transformation. President Erdoğan and his close circle lead this change in interaction with global developments and domestic politics.

Three Phases of Turkish-American Relations in Syria

Three Phases of Turkish-American Relations in Syria

February 20, 2026

The Syrian civil war has had a major impact on relations between Turkey and the United States. Syria has created both areas of cooperation and sources of tension between the two countries. As interests and the regional balance of power shifted, the nature of the relationship also changed.

Syria’s Fate Still Hinges on Trump

Syria’s Fate Still Hinges on Trump

January 13, 2026

Videos showed fighting erupting in residential areas as civilians fled en masse, while green buses later transported defeated fighters out of the city under a mediated evacuation arrangement. The Aleppo clashes in early January 2026 brought back grim memories of Syria's civil war, even as the new government in Damascus, led by President Ahmad al-Sharaa, claimed another military win against the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) in Aleppo.

The Role of Ideas in Turkey's Syria Policy: Disillusionment with Ideology or Transformation?

The Role of Ideas in Turkey's Syria Policy: Disillusionment with Ideology or Transformation?

January 7, 2026

Turkey’s Syria policy is often portrayed as a case of foreign policy failure driven by ideology. According to this view, Ankara abandoned realism in favor of Islamist enthusiasm during the Arab Spring and later returned to pragmatism after paying significant political and strategic costs. While this narrative highlights an important shift, it relies on a simplified understanding of the relationship between ideas and foreign policy.

Game of Thrones in Ankara

Game of Thrones in Ankara

October 5, 2025

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan was cordially received by U.S. President Donald Trump at the White House on September 25. Progovernment media celebrated the Oval Office meeting with U.S. President Donald Trump as a diplomatic success that might reset troubled U.S.-Turkey relations. Yet, instead of opening a new page with Washington, Erdoğan’s visit unexpectedly highlighted something else: the question of succession and the rivalries within his own circle.

Turkey Between Washington and Beijing: Erdoğan’s Calculated Visit to China

Turkey Between Washington and Beijing: Erdoğan’s Calculated Visit to China

September 8, 2025

Today, Turkey’s overtures to non-Western initiatives are no longer surprising to the US and Europe. Yet, what does this visit say about Turkey’s place in the shifting balance between the United States and China?

Videos

Türkiye ve İsrail Donanmalar Karşı Karşıya Gelebilir!

May 5, 2026

Haşim Tekineş

by Haşim Tekineş, published on 5 May 2026

"Türkiye ve İsrail Donanmalar Karşı Karşıya Gelebilir!"

AİHM'den Yeni İhlal Kararı

May 5, 2026

Haşim Tekineş

Hakan Kaplankaya

by Hakan Kaplankaya and Haşim Tekineş, published on 5 May 2026

Bu videoda Avrupa İnsan Hakları Mahkemesi’nin (AİHM) Büyük Daire’den çıkan Yasak kararını ve bu kararın Türkiye’deki davalar açısından ne anlama geldiğini ele alıyoruz.

Türkiye'ye karşı Fransa-Yunanistan askeri ittifakı mı?

May 2, 2026

Haşim Tekineş

by Haşim tekineş, published on 2 May 2026

Avrupa Komisyonu Başkanı Von der Leyen'in Türkiye'yi "dış rakip" olarak tanımlaması ve Macron'un Yunanistan'a destek sözü Ankara'yı karşı karşıya getirdi. Türkiye-AB ilişkilerinde son kriz ne anlama geliyor?

BAE OPEC'ten Ayrılıyor!

April 29, 2026

Haşim Tekineş

by Haşim Tekineş, published on 29 April 2026

instituDE Dış Politika Analisti Hasim Tekines Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri (BAE) ve Suudi Arabistan arasındaki siyasi gerginliği ve BAE'nin OPEC'ten ayrılma kararı almasını ele aldı

Mythos: Siber Dünyada Dengeler Değişiyor!

April 22, 2026

Haşim Tekineş

Dr. Yasir Gökçe Anthropic'nin yeni yapay zeka modeli Mythos'u ve olası etkilerini değerlendirdi.

by Yasir Gökçe and Haşim Tekineş, published on 22 April 2026

Avrupa'nın Türkiye Endişesi!

April 21, 2026

Haşim Tekineş

by Haşim Tekineş, published on 21 April 2026

AB Komisyonu Başkanı #ursulavonderleyen #Rusya, #Çin ve #Türk nüfuzu konusunda uyardı.

Podcasts

Venezuela Seçimleri - Maduro'yu Seçimle Devirmek

by İmdat Öner and Haşim Tekineş, published on 29 July 2024

28 Temmuz 2024 Pazar günü Venezuela'da gerçekleştirilen tek turlu başkanlık seçimi sonuçlarını instituDE üyesi ve Latin Amerika Uzmanı Dr. İmdat Öner ile instituDE Dış Politika Analisti Haşim Tekineş değerlendirdiler.

Mesud Pezişkiyân: İran'ın yeni cumhurbaşkanı

by Haşim Tekineş and Mehmet Akif Koç, published on 6 July 2024

Orta Doğu uzmanı Mehmet Akif Koç ve instituDE Dış Politika Analisti Haşim Tekineş İran'ın yeni cumhurbaşkanı Mesud Pezişkiyân'ı, reformist olup olmadığını, nasıl bir profile sahip olduğunu, seçim sonuçlarına dair çeşitli detayları ve bir sonraki İran ruhani lideri dahil olmak üzere pek çok hususu ele aldılar.

İran Lideri Reisi'nin helikopteri düştü. Kaza mı, suikast mı?

by Haşim Tekineş and Mehmet Akif Koç, published on 19 May 2024

ran ve Ortadoğu uzmanı Mehmet Akif Koç ve instituDE politika analisti Haşim Tekineş'in 19 Mayıs Pazar akşamı saat 20.00'den itibaren gerçekleştirdikleri, İran cumhurbaşkanı Reisi'nin helikopter kazası hakkındaki twitter Space yayınımızın kaydıdır.

Hastane Saldırısı, Gazze'ye Kara Harekati, Filistin'de Son Durum ve Türkiye'nin Tutumu

October 18, 2023

by Ömer Güler, Haşim Tekineş, Enes Esen, Servet Akman and İmdat Öner, published on 18 October 2023

18 Ekim Çarşamba günü Ömer Güler, Enes Esen, Servet Akman, Haşim Tekineş ve İmdat Öner İsrail-Hamas Savaşı'na dair hastane saldırısı dahil son gelişmeleri, Gazze'ye kara harekatını, Türkiye'nin gelişmelere dair tepkilerini ve savaşın küresel ve bölgesel sonuçlarını Twitter Space yayınında ele aldılar.

Publications

Reality or Misperception: The US withdrawal from the Middle East

Reality or Misperception: The US withdrawal from the Middle East

For U.S. policymakers, it will be necessary to determine how best to reconfigure American strategy in the Middle East in an age of new hegemonic struggles. From the U.S. perspective, withdrawal or retreat from the region does not necessarily reflect the true nature of the policy change. Regional actors, however, are likely to have the opposite perspective—that the United States is much less interested in Middle Eastern regional issues than it has been in the past.

Turkey: Clumsy Juggling Between the United States and Russia

Turkey: Clumsy Juggling Between the United States and Russia

As Russia has initiated its onslaught against Ukraine, the Turkish position has tilted towards the attitudes of other NATO countries, although it remains cautious in an attempt to not raise Moscow’s ire.

WHAT WOULD A POST-ERDOĞAN TURKISH FOREIGN POLICY LOOK LIKE?

WHAT WOULD A POST-ERDOĞAN TURKISH FOREIGN POLICY LOOK LIKE?

December 8, 2021

If Erdoğan is voted out of office, no one in Washington or Brussels should expect Turkey to suddenly turn into a docile and obedient ally. Structural changes in the international environment, broader bureaucratic and ideological trends in Turkey, and new facts on the ground that Erdoğan has created will all limit the potential for “normalization” in post-Erdoğan Turkey.

Turkish Diplomacy by the Numbers: A Decade of Trends

Turkish Diplomacy by the Numbers: A Decade of Trends

November 5, 2021

Turkey has maintained strong dialogue with NATO and EU countries despite increasing differences regarding foreign policy matters. Meanwhile, Turkey’s intensifying relations with authoritarian states is one of the striking trends between 2010 and 2020.

Turkey-Qatar Relations after al-Ula

Turkey-Qatar Relations after al-Ula

September 28, 2021

elations between Turkey and Qatar have flourished within the past decade, particularly after the 2017 Gulf boycott against the latter. Yet efforts by Ankara and Doha to normalize diplomatic relations with Gulf countries and Egypt raise doubts about the future of bilateral relations between Turkey and Qatar. For sure, neither Turkey nor Qatar have any interest in ending their mutually beneficial bilateral relations.

Uncertainty Looms In Post-American Middle East

Uncertainty Looms In Post-American Middle East

Geopolitical, ideological, and socio-economic quandaries will continue to haunt processes of normalization in the Middle East subsequent to the US’s gradual withdrawal from the region. Underlying issues remain unresolved despite diplomatic relaxation, and the power vacuum left behind by the US has the potential to rekindle regional rivalries and trigger proxy wars worse than those seen under the Obama and Trump administrations.

Analyses

The Poverty of Turkish Opposition and Its Obsession with Elections

The Poverty of Turkish Opposition and Its Obsession with Elections

January 29, 2025

Opposing authoritarian leaders is a formidable challenge, as they wield state resources to suppress dissent. Over two decades, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has methodically dismantled democratic institutions and consolidated authoritarian power. His power is unrivaled, yet not unchallenged.

Evolution of Erdoğan's Victory Speeches From 2002 To 2023

Evolution of Erdoğan's Victory Speeches From 2002 To 2023

Evolution of Erdoğan's Victory Speeches From 2002 to 2023

Büyük Güçlerin Kapışmasında Hayatta Kalmak

Büyük Güçlerin Kapışmasında Hayatta Kalmak

Rusya’nın Ukrayna’yı işgali büyük güçler arasında son yıllarda artan rekabetin nerelere varabileceğini çok açık bir şekilde herkese göstermiş oldu. Y kuşağının tarih kitaplarından okuduğu felaket senaryolarının günümüzde de pekâlâ yaşanabileceğini görmüş olduk.

Reports

Turkey's Vision For a New Syria

February 14, 2026

This report analyzes Turkey’s vision for Syria following the fall of the Assad family and the rise of the HTS under the leadership of Ahmad al-Sharaa. In this regard, it focuses on the foreign actors that, alongside Turkey, now have the greatest ability to shape Syria’s future: namely the United States and Israel.

SUCCESSION: THE QUESTION OF POWER TRANSITION IN ERDOGAN’S TURKEY

December 6, 2023

His electoral victory in May 2023 gave President Erdoğan five more years to further consolidate his power, eviscerate institutions, fill the bureaucracy with yes-men and expand his corruption network. This, of course, raises questions about the Turkish political system’s chances of recovery, the prospects for democratization after Erdogan and the regime’s tolerance for his demise.