Opinions - Middle East and North Africa

Would Turkey Follow Saudi Arabia into Yemen?

Would Turkey Follow Saudi Arabia into Yemen?

by Mustafa Enes Esen, published on 14 September 2026
Over the weekend of September 11–13, Yemen's Houthis captured the Red Sea port of Mocha and the island of Perim, completing their takeover of Yemen's Red Sea coast and increasing their control over the Bab al-Mandeb strait. Saudi Arabia was forced to shut down a critical oil pipeline that had become one of the kingdom's principal outlets to the sea after Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz.
Japan and Israel Move Closer

Japan and Israel Move Closer

by Shogo Hiruta, published on 31 August 2026
The Israeli government is exploring closer cooperation with Japan on semiconductor technology, and Tokyo has already approved subsidies for an Israeli chip investment in Japan. The investment's importance, however, extends beyond commerce, reflecting an intent to deepen ties between the two countries.
South Korea’s Arctic Route Should Be a Strategic Backup, Not a New Suez

South Korea’s Arctic Route Should Be a Strategic Backup, Not a New Suez

by Ju Hyung Kim, publised on 30 August 2026
South Korea’s first trial container voyage via the Arctic route should not be viewed simply as an experiment for faster shipping. Its genuine implication hinges on a more difficult question: how could South Korea, one of the most trade-dependent countries in the world, minimize exposure to maritime disruption without creating new geopolitical vulnerabilities?
The Mecca Agreement Is Goodwill, Not a Shield

The Mecca Agreement Is Goodwill, Not a Shield

by Mustafa Enes Esen, published on 17 August 2026
The leaders of Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan signed the Mecca Joint Defense Agreement on August 7, declaring that an armed attack on any one of the three countries would be treated as an attack on all. The agreement is open to other countries, with Egypt and Qatar among the states that could potentially join.
Our Experts Assess the Turkey-Saudi Arabia-Pakistan Defense Pact

Our Experts Assess the Turkey-Saudi Arabia-Pakistan Defense Pact

by Servet Akman, Mustafa Enes Esen and Ömer Güler, published on 8 August 2026
On August 7, 2026, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and Pakistan signed a trilateral defense pact in Mecca, each committing to treat an attack on one as an attack on all. Coming amid the Iran-US war and a renewed Houthi threat to Saudi Arabia, the agreement has drawn immediate comparison to NATO's Article 5. Our experts weigh in.
Why Caution Is Warranted in Turkey’s PKK Deal

Why Caution Is Warranted in Turkey’s PKK Deal

by Mustafa Enes Esen, published on 7 August 2026
Turkey stands closer to ending its four-decade war with the PKK. A draft framework law, the product of more than two years of negotiations with the imprisoned PKK leader Abdullah Öcalan, reached parliament this week, and a plenary vote is expected soon. An end to the armed conflict would benefit Turkey and the wider region. The way the government has drafted the law and managed the process, however, carries several warning signs that temper such optimism.

Reports - Middle East and North Africa

Turkey's Vision For a New Syria

Turkey's Vision For a New Syria

by Mustafa Enes Esen, Haşim Tekineş, Mehmet Demirbaş and Servet Akman, published on 14 February 2026
This report analyzes Turkey’s vision for Syria following the fall of the Assad family and the rise of the HTS under the leadership of Ahmad al-Sharaa. In this regard, it focuses on the foreign actors that, alongside Turkey, now have the greatest ability to shape Syria’s future: namely the United States and Israel.

Videos - Middle East and North Africa

Orta Doğu'da Şii Hilalinin Batışı

September 30, 2024
by Haşim Tekineş, published on 30 September 2024
instituDE Dış Politika Analisti Haşim Tekineş İsrail'in saldırısı sonucu Hizbullah lideri Hasan Nasrallah'ın öldürülmesinin bölge için doğuracağı sonuçlarını ele aldı.

Orta Doğu Savaşın Eşiğinde

September 24, 2024
by Haşim Tekineş, published on 24 September 2024
instituDE Dış Politika Analisti Haşim Tekineş Orta Doğu'da mevcut bulunan yakın savaş tehditini, İsrail-Hizbullah gerilimini ve durumun bölge ve Türkiye için etkilerini ele aldı.

Orta Doğu'da İstihbarat Savaşları

September 20, 2024
by Ali Dinçer and Haşim Tekineş, published on 20 September 2024
Bu yayınımızda Haşim Tekineş ve Ali Dinçer Almanya'nın sınır kontrolleri yapma kararını, Avrupa'da sığınmacı kaşıtı uygulama ve politikaları, İsrail'in Hizbullah üyelerine yönelik çağrı cihazlarını patlatma operasyonunu, İsrail-Hizbullah geriliminin ilerleyen dönemdeki olası seyrini ve Kanada siyasetinde yaşanan son gelişmeleri ele aldılar.

Mısır'la Yeni Bir Sayfa

September 5, 2024
by Ali Dinçer and Haşim Tekineş, published on 5 September 2024
Bu yayınımızda Ali Dinçer ve Haşim Tekineş Mısır-Türkiye normalleşmesini, Sisi'nin bu haftaki Türkiye ziyaretini ve Türkiye'nin BRICS'e katılma niyetini değerlendirdiler.

Gazze Orta Doğu'da Amerika'yı Bitirdi

August 24, 2024
by Haşim Tekineş, published on 24 August 2024
Haşim Tekineş Gazze Savaşı'nın Orta Doğu üzerindeki etkilerini Andreas Krieg adlı akademisyenin Mayıs 2024'te kaleme aldığı bir makaleyi özetleyerek anlatıyor. Gazze Savaşı Orta Doğu'da ABD'yi bitirdi mi?

Rusya İşgal Altında

August 16, 2024
by Ali Dinçer and Haşim Tekineş, published on 16 August 2024
Haftanın önemli uluslararası gündemlerinden Ukrayna'nın Rusya topraklarına girmesini, Gazze'de şiddetin devam edişini, ateşkes görüşmelerini, Biden'ın görevdeki son üç ayında Gazze savaşına dair adım atma olasılığı, Mahmut Abbas'ın Türkiye temasları ile ABD seçim sürecine dair son gelişmeleri ele aldılar.